As a follow-up to my earlier post regarding the “Big Ten” poll, there was some interesting news in the JS All-Politics Blog (note, while the JS is most definitely not conservative or even “balanced,” it is a great source for breaking political news).
As I mentioned in the previous post, both Obama and McCain seemed to indicate early on that they were going to attempt to make inroads into previously uncontested states. However, as the polls suggest, political reality takes hold and states slowly shift to a “safe” or “leaning” category for the respective candidates.
As a perfect example of this, the JS notes that Obama is now moving field staff from North Dakota, a place where he thought he would be able to compete following the primary, to Wisconsin. This illustrates that the 50-state strategy at this point does not work and secondly, that Wisconsin is going to play a pivotal role in the election’s outcome.
Also, note as an aside that spending resources on a 50-state strategy is something that must be done in off-years. If anything, the GOP needs to realize that for a conservative candidate to have a viable chance to pick up numerous Midwestern states, states that all things being equal have broken to the Dems over the past two presidential elections, it will need to commit resources in off-years.
I know it has been attempted. In fact, I worked for the Republican Party of Wisconsin in a joint effort with the RNC in 2005 to establish regional offices around the state. While it was definitely difficult work, I’m confident that work laid the foundation for a very organized state-wide structure. McCain currently has a field office in every major Wisconsin city. This effort needs to be carried forward so that the infrastructure can be used in 2010 for the gubernatorial candidate and future presidential, senate and congressional candidates. It’s simply a matter of organizational will and resource commitment.
-Jake